Alan Ruskin - Deutsche Bank

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Last quote by Alan Ruskin

In terms of market impact, much of the immediate market reaction to an announcement would come from is it Warsh or not because: i) Warsh is currently the favorite and so at least marginally priced in; and ii) is seen as potentially more hawkish than the other leading candidates. Bear in mind the response to Yellen and Powell in particular will be partly a reversal of any expected Warsh effect.feedback
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Oct 05 2017 Federal Reserve
We can learn a lot about a person if we know what types of things he or she talks about or comments on the most frequently. There are numerous topics with which Alan Ruskin is associated, including Fed and FOMC. Most recently, Alan Ruskin has been quoted saying: “In terms of market response, Warsh and Cohn might be regarded as candidates most likely to ruffle feathers. Warsh's past comments work against the Fed making up short-term policy that 'baby-sits' financial markets.” in the article The definitive guide to the next Fed chief.
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Alan Ruskin quotes

Feb 23 2017 - China

I think the market was a little bit disappointed about a few things. ... He said nothing about the strong dollar story, nothing clear or clean on border-adjusted taxes and probably in some ways, the most way, was when he was talking about three percent growth, he was pushing it back to 2018. I think maybe people were expecting something more dollar positive from Mnuchin. The tone was conciliatory as it related to China, particularly the trade issue. He didn't really push it.feedback

Feb 05 2017

All in all a very mixed payroll report, with the breakdown tending to validate the latest Fed message of a gradual tightening and no need to rush into a hike at the next meeting. This data plays to the idea that there may be an extended gestation period both for easier U.S. fiscal policy and tighter monetary policy.feedback

Nov 14 2016

There are signs that higher bond yields and the knock of a stronger US dollar are having a domino impact, taking down the weakest risky assets first, before moving on to the next. There is only so much financial conditions tightening that risky assets can take when fiscal stimulus is still 'a promise' that lies some way in the future.feedback

Nov 04 2016

All in all, the data fits perfectly with a Fed hike in December.feedback

Aug 18 2016

Listen to Dudley and not the minutes. I think Dudley could not have been clearer on the (market) being mispriced on Fed rate risks. If you take the FOMC minute headlines at face value, the slightly softer 2yr yield that followed the minutes is the correct response. However, I expect the rates/FX market will go back to focusing primarily on the latest read from Dudley.feedback

Aug 17 2016

The market simply does not believe in the Fed hiking before the November (Presidential) elections.feedback

Aug 15 2016 - Federal Reserve

I don't expect hard signals on rates from Janet Yellen, because the data is so uncertain.feedback

Aug 15 2016

If his possibilities rise, I think that will be seen as introducing new areas of uncertainty, whereas Clinton will be viewed by the market place as something where policy is largely continuous, in terms of what we've seen in the Obama administration.feedback

Jun 17 2016

Certainly people are talking about the possibility that this [Cox's murder] does influence the Brexit vote in favor of Remain. It is a tragic event all around. There is a sense; there is an immediate emotional reaction….It definitely is seen as part of the story, the recovery of risk.feedback

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