Claus Vistesen - Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Last quote by Claus Vistesen

This is not something we have been able to say for a long time.feedback
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Oct 31 2017
We can learn a lot about a person if we know what types of things he or she talks about or comments on the most frequently. There are numerous topics with which Claus Vistesen is associated, including France, Germany, and growth. Most recently, Claus Vistesen has been quoted saying: “We think growth will slow next year to about 2.8pc, but the Spanish economy probably will remain the star performer in the Eurozone.” in the article Eurozone unemployment lowest since 2009 as GDP growth remains robust.
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Claus Vistesen quotes

Jul 03 2017 - UBS

This is of little help to markets which tend to look forward, but it shows that the PMIs are a useful short leading/real time indicator.feedback

Jun 08 2017

The key theme is that investment has picked up in the last six months, offsetting a slowdown in private spending.feedback

Jun 08 2017 - Labour Party

The market is setting up for a dovish meeting today given the rumors of a dip in the ECB's inflation forecast. I suspect the EUR/USD will fall as Draghi speaks, but then eventually recover. The range is 1.05-to-1.15 in my view. EUR/GBP likely will rise if May gets a big majority as markets will discount a hard Brexit. If Corbyn wins, EUR/GBP will plunge I think. But this is just initially. Corbyn's economic policies are very GBP bearish in my view.feedback

Jun 01 2017

In this new security, the bonds of the individual states would exist independently. So for example if you bought a bond with 25 percent of each of the major economies, and Italy defaulted, you would still be paid on the remaining 75 percent, presumably at least.feedback

Jun 01 2017

Securitization simply means that you take the existing bonds on the market, e.g. German, French, Italian and Spanish, and 'securitize' them in a tranched bond.feedback

May 18 2017 - French election 2017

Risks are clearly biased to the upside, but we need more clarity on whether Macron can push through his reforms.feedback

May 04 2017 - French Presidential Debate

I would not be surprised if markets open higher and go down at lunchtime, I would not be surprised if everything ends the day in red.feedback

Apr 30 2017 - French economy

The French trade surplus with the UK collapsed at the start of 2017, as a UK consumers' spending slowed and the euro soared against sterling. In addition the trade deficit with Asia widened, as exports of aircraft plunged, following a jump at the end of 2016.feedback

Apr 07 2017 - Greece

My guess is that the Greek government got a stern warning from the ECB(European Central Bank)/Bank of Greece that a further impasse would have meant a severe hit to the economy via capital outflows.feedback

Apr 07 2017 - IMF

As for the IMF, I would assume that they are in … otherwise I don't see the Eurogroup agreeing to this. Another way to put it is that they haven't said, as far as I can see at least, that they're out. So I have to assume that they're in.feedback

Apr 07 2017 - Greece

We have to be skeptical of course that a reform pledge for 2019 and 2020 will actually be carried out, but it plugs a hole for now.feedback

Apr 03 2017

We can't be sure the data is correct, mainly in a two-round election.feedback

Mar 21 2017 - Five Star Movement

If Five Star Movement could secure 30 or 40 percent of the vote then of course that would be extremely worrying for the euro area's stability. Whether they can gain an absolute majority… we'll have to wait and see.feedback

Feb 16 2017 - French election 2017

Fillon is still the safe bet. He is taking a tougher stance on immigration.feedback

Feb 09 2017 - Greece

This time around both sides can contemplate Greece leaving the euro.feedback

Feb 07 2017 - Greece

The uncertainty around Greece's euro membership in the first half of 2015 knocked the economy off its feet. Deposit outflows and outflows from Athens-based money market funds will give the first signs that the market is pricing a risk o f a Greek exit from the euro zone.feedback

Feb 07 2017 - Greece

Patience, especially in Germany, is wearing thin.feedback

Feb 07 2017 - Greece

If a deal is not achieved, the EU election calendar probably will make any agreement impossible until the summer. This will bring us precariously close to its next scheduled Greek 10.5 billion euro payment to its creditors.feedback

Jan 05 2017

It is only natural German economists would be calling for a change to interest rates from the ECB but the central bank is likely not to be phased by this… Mario Draghi is used to diffusing these types of situations and the ECB should remain relatively sanguine for now.feedback

Jan 05 2017

Inflation in the euro zone should continue to improve with risks on the upside. By the way, don't think this is restricted to Europe, global inflation is on the rise and at the moment it is probably higher than the consensus expects for 2017.feedback

Nov 23 2016

In contrast to France, companies in Germany are operating with stable margins as higher input costs are being passed on to end-consumers.feedback

Nov 15 2016

GDP growth in the euro area was stable last quarter, and while this report does not carry any details we are confident that the key story was a rebound in domestic demand, which offset a reversal in net exports. Across countries, GDP growth slowed disappointingly in Germany, but growth rebounded in France, and also snapped back in Italy.feedback

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