Hidenobu Tokuda

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Last quote by Hidenobu Tokuda

I was expecting consumption to pick up in January-March, but so far things look weak. This reflects concerns that wages this year won't rise as fast as last year. Some people are also feeling the pinch from higher energy prices.feedback
Mar 29 2017 Japan
We can learn a lot about a person if we know what types of things he or she talks about or comments on the most frequently. There are numerous topics with which Hidenobu Tokuda is associated, including July, Japan, and policy. Most recently, Hidenobu Tokuda has been quoted saying: “Factory output will probably slow down this quarter as a reaction to solid production in October-December. Still, output is likely to remain in a moderate pickup backed by IT-related demand for smart phones in China and economic recovery in the United States and Europe as well as resource-exporting countries and emerging markets, although uncertainty remains over the outlook on US economic policies.” in the article Japan's weaker than expected industrial output shows economic recovery fragile.
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Hidenobu Tokuda quotes

This suggested that companies think they can cope with the current level of the yen. Weak investment overseas may prevent capital spending from accelerating ahead though.feedback

Companies may appreciate the fact that the BOJ stimulus brought down interest rates and weakened the yen but that alone proved insufficient to boost the Japanese economy.feedback

Many companies appear to want the government to shift focus away from fiscal stimulus to structural reform and deregulation, while feeling monetary policy has hit limits.feedback

The GDP data will likely press Abe to decide to delay a planned sales tax hike next year and to roll out additional fiscal stimulus worth at least 5 trillion yen. I also expect the Bank of Japan to ease policy further in July given weak growth and tame inflation.feedback

Taking into account the effects of the extra day from the leap year, which pushed up the quarter-on-quarter growth rate by 0.3 percentage point, growth is not as strong as the headline number shows.feedback

The GDP data will likely press Abe to decide to delay a planned sales tax hike next year and to roll out additional fiscal stimulus worth at least 5 trillion yen (40.5 billion euro). I also expect the Bank of Japan to ease policy further in July given weak growth and tame inflation.feedback

For now, the BOJ is in a wait-and-see mode to judge the effects of its negative rate policy.feedback

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