Ian Bremmer - Eurasia Group


Last quote by Ian Bremmer

Both now have plans well underway for how to respond to what a NAFTA-less North America looks like. The economic hit is equally clear for both, but the politics are another matter. Anti-Trump sentiment in Canada is so high that there's not likely to be much fallout for Trudeau and his liberal party if the relationship falls apart. Meanwhile, Mexican president Enrique Pena Nieto is ostensibly the pro-Trump guy; this has a huge impact on next year's elections.feedback
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Nov 13 2017
We can learn a lot about a person if we know what types of things he or she talks about or comments on the most frequently. There are numerous topics with which Ian Bremmer is associated, including China and Trump. Most recently, Ian Bremmer has been quoted saying: “Trump is a unilateralist.” in the article Trump's presidency is a big win for China, Ian Bremmer says.
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Ian Bremmer quotes

Sep 17 2017 - Trump Presidency

Someone who is savvy politically, [and] can build alliances and coalitions inside the administration is likely to do better than someone who expects everyone to come to them. I think Tillerson could have been a great secretary of State in other administrations but really not this one.feedback

Sep 17 2017 - Women

Tillerson isn't looking to make sure he gets into rooms; he expects people to come to him. She's working phones, working the people, she's gotten to know an awful lot of people around the UN. When you have conversations with [other] ambassadors and they talk about Haley, it's as an intelligent and professional woman who gets things done. That's very different from the way they talk about other people in the administration.feedback

Jul 19 2017 - Trump-Putin

He's going to get played. He's going to get played. That's the concern.feedback

Jul 19 2017 - Trump-Putin

The people I talked to weren't timing. It wasn't five minutes. Brief implies it's five minutes or 10 minutes.feedback

Jul 19 2017 - Fake news

Fake News story of secret dinner with Putin is 'sick.' All G 20 leaders, and spouses, were invited by the Chancellor of Germany. Press knew!feedback

Jul 19 2017 - Fake news

The Fake News is becoming more and more dishonest! Even a dinner arranged for top 20 leaders in Germany is made to look sinister!feedback

Jul 18 2017 - Trump-Putin

Pretty much everyone at the dinner thought this was really weird, that here is the president of the United States, who clearly wants to display that he has a better relationship personally with President Putin than any of us, or simply doesn't care.feedback

Jul 18 2017 - Trump-Putin

There were a lot of empty seats. Donald Trump got up from the table and sat down with Putin for about an hour. It was very animated and very friendly. Putin's translator was translating. I found out about it because people were startled.feedback

Jul 18 2017 - NATO

I've never in my life seen a relationship between two major countries where the interests are so misaligned while the leaders are so buddy-buddy. It doesn't add up. Trump has been inconsistent on his China policy, he's been inconsistent on his Nato policy. On any foreign policy issue he's been on both sides. Except Russia. It doesn't make sense. The fact he was willing to do this in front of global leaders shows he just doesn't care how America is perceived.feedback

Jul 18 2017 - G20

It's very clear that Trump's best single relationship in the G20 is with Putin. US allies were surprised, flummoxed, disheartened. You've got Trump in the room with all these allies and who's the one he spends time with? I sat on this for days hoping they would talk about it. I knew last week. It didn't happen. I'm an analyst; I'm not in the business of breaking news.feedback

Jul 05 2017 - China

And that we are gearing up for some tariffs against China, with the possibility of a trade war. No question, that's the big risk here. North Korea's antics make it worse.feedback

Jun 28 2017 - China

I would probably focus a little more on the Chinese at this point. There's a possibility this won't go well.feedback

Jun 28 2017 - North Korea

They could squeeze North Korea more if they want, but they don't in part because they think Trump is dangerous.feedback

May 17 2017 - Trump Presidency

A lot of these countries will be wondering not only about their relationship to the United States, but also how long this guy's gonna be around. You wanna watch whether countries are hedging more against the United States; to what extent Trump doesn't look like a leader.feedback

May 17 2017 - NATO

The Saudis wanted to see the back of Obama; they're much happier with Trump. [Israeli prime minister] Netanyahu wanted to see the back of Obama; he's much happier with Trump. The Pope gives nice symbolism. He's got bigger problems, and doesn't really know anything about NATO. Most of his key advisers don't really want to change things–I think he'd rather pretend he has a win, saying: 'They're spending more and it's because of me.feedback

May 17 2017

Given the timing, all you're gonna be focused on is the latest fuse to drop in the US. If this were an authoritarian state he'd cancel the trip because of concerns about a coup. It's not, so he can leave and he'll still be president when he comes back, but it's clear that there's not much for him in the trip right now.feedback

May 12 2017 - Trump Presidency

Trump has an authoritarian impulse.feedback

Apr 10 2017 - Russia

It's certainly true that Trump doesn't want the level of scrutiny on the Russia ties, but he does want a better relationship. It's very clear that the Russians are very unhappy so the idea that there's coordination is ludicrous.feedback

Apr 05 2017

It struck me that it was very Chinese in orientation. You take out all of the issues of American exceptionalism and values, you take out all the restraints and responsibilities of American alliances and architecture that are based on those values, and it creates a very different sense of foreign policy.feedback

Feb 14 2017

Clients are asking about all of the moving pieces. It's suddenly: 'Are we going to be in a much more protectionist world? Is the global marketplace going to fragment?'.feedback

Feb 10 2017 - Japan

I don't happen to believe that. But if you do believe that, you absolutely want that conflict to come earlier, when the United States is much more powerful than China, than later on when they have the largest economy in the world.feedback

Feb 10 2017 - Japan

It's an enormously risky logic. It's one the markets are going to throw up all over, but it's not that these people are assertively stupid. I just happen to think it's wrong.feedback

Feb 01 2017 - Travel ban

The wall and immigration ban are the perfect metaphors for the end of the Pax Americana.feedback

Feb 01 2017 - Multilateralism

Republicans and Democrats always had a consensus about the importance of U.S.-led multilateral institutions, the centrality of globalization, and free trade. Some were more skeptical than others, but the idea behind all of these things was that using American leadership to create standards and alliances benefits us because we're the biggest economy and have the strongest military.feedback

Feb 01 2017 - Russia

If you look at the way he's spoken with the German and French leadership and compare it to the way he's spoken with Putin, you see this is a radically different perspective.feedback

Jan 31 2017

Tech companies in particular need talent and that talent is coming from abroad. It's not about the ban from seven countries. This is about creating an environment where America is no longer seen as an attractive place to live for a lot of people these companies really need to have.feedback

Jan 31 2017

In the meantime, the South Korean government has ramped up bilateral meetings with Chinese officials and looks to grow their bilateral trade relations.feedback

Jan 31 2017

Trump's policies are taking a whole bunch of countries that were already worried about America's commitment to lead and America's commitment to its alliances. China also wants to be seen now as promoting globalization, promoting free trade, particularly for countries in Asia that don't want to count on the U.S.. Vietnam is extremely reluctant to be as closely tied to the United States on security issues, given the Philippines are already moving in that direction.feedback

Jan 29 2017

The Chinese government is quite concerned about the potential for direct confrontation with the Trump administration.feedback

Jan 16 2017 - World Economic Forum

It is no coincidence that Xi chose this year to make the trip up the magic mountain.feedback

Jan 15 2017 - World Economic Forum

It is going to be a long haul in persuading a lot of people that there is a different approach. But you don't have to throw the baby out with the bath water.feedback

Jan 15 2017 - World Economic Forum

If you want to find people who are going to rally together and say capitalism is fundamentally broken, Davos is not the place to go.feedback

Jan 03 2017

Now the 'Pax Americana' is over. It's been coming … for a while. It's now here.feedback

Dec 27 2016 - Snapchat

The economics of the EU work for the Germans in a way that they don't work for the EU periphery. You could easily have a snap election in the U.K. before you get to real Brexit negotiations.feedback

Dec 22 2016 - Taiwan

I'm less worried about a trade war. I'm worried more about ... backing into inadvertent escalation like you saw on Taiwan. I'm more worried about a potential conflict over Taiwan, over North Korea, where the stakes are a lot higher and, frankly, where Trump doesn't have capable people yet who are advising him.feedback

Dec 22 2016

The environment for the entire Trump administration on China is going to be much more challenging to negotiate and I don't think Trump has gotten his head around that yet. The problem is that [partnership] was the one thing that was a mechanism to get all of America's allies on board with U.S.-led trade as opposed to China-led trade.feedback

Dec 22 2016

If you're going to tell America's allies that you're not going to give them this commitment, you're not going to follow through on what's most important for them for avoiding a China-led system and then you're beating up on China, you're going to end up with a lot of countries doing what the Philippines did under Obama, say the future is actually China, not the United States, I can't trust these guys.feedback

Dec 22 2016

Wilbur Ross is obviously an extremely capable fellow. I think he's one of the best appointments they've made so far.feedback

Dec 19 2016

The Russians will express their gravest possible concerns, and Erdogan will use this as an excuse to crack down on political enemies as much as possible.feedback

Dec 19 2016

There's no question that this is yet another display of Erdogan not having adequate control of the security within his borders.feedback

Dec 14 2016

Rex Tillerson is a very capable businessman. He is certainly a guy that knows his way around these blocks but ultimately I don't think he's going to be the one driving policy.feedback

Dec 14 2016

You have to be worried that he isn't really capable of showing a lot of nuances. As a businessman that's fine…but there does need to be some diplomacy in your foreign policy. I don't believe that Trump actually has the policy chops to know the implications of what he's doing but I do know that American allies in Asia are desperately concerned that Trump is not a guy that can be counted on.feedback

Dec 14 2016

There is something going on;there is a reason why Trump wanted to help the Russians – I don't know if it is because of economic interests with Russia or because of his advisers being close to them.feedback

Dec 06 2016 - American politics

The power of the American president is not absolute. There's a serious amount of pushback that he will get from important people, including from some people's he's appointed to posts.feedback

Dec 06 2016

I was in Beijing a week ago, and at one point I said to an audience of government officials, it's going to be very interesting for you to work with an American leader who admires a lot of what you guys do.feedback

Dec 03 2016 - Taiwan

Trump has been accepting calls of congratulations from everybody, without the focus on usual protocol and absence of regular intelligence briefs. He knows there's a problem between China and Taiwan, but unlikely thought taking a call would cause an international incident. That's just lack of policy experience… but it puts him in a very tough place with Beijing.feedback

Dec 03 2016 - Taiwan

You improvise around this stuff and U.S. national interests will be damaged.feedback

Nov 23 2016 - Trans Pacific Partnership

American allies are freaked out about this in Asia. The Chinese are licking their lips – they're very happy about it.feedback

Nov 23 2016 - Trans Pacific Partnership

This means that everyone in Asia no longer sees the United States as a credible leader, so they have to go to China for leadership. There's a little bit of triumphalism in Beijing.feedback

Nov 10 2016

It's precisely the role of American values that most underpinned its strength as the world's superpower...That view has already eroded dramatically over the past decade...but President Trump intends to upend it. America's footprint as the world's leader, and the role of Americanization in a globalized world, now pass the point of no return.feedback

Nov 10 2016 - Trans Pacific Partnership

The Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) is a dead letter in this environment, as is the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP), [which is ] already on life support.feedback

Nov 10 2016

A Trump presidency means the most significant hit to American power and leadership globally than any other event since the collapse of the Soviet Union.feedback

Nov 02 2016 - Venezuela

Maduro's just happy to have a smokescreen. All this just extends the economic and social damage. The long-term outcome is the same: Maduro can't hold on for much longer. But he can hold on for longer than many expected.feedback

Nov 02 2016 - Venezuela

After doing everything possible to slow down the recall effort of President Nicolas Maduro, the election commission finally suspended it all together. There's no legal mechanism left to remove the leadership, which means the resumption of major anti-Maduro street protests and demonstrations, and the state-supported repression to keep it under 'control.feedback

Oct 05 2016 - IMF

We'll see what we get from all of these member states, but the initial responses actually make me pretty optimistic.feedback

Oct 05 2016 - IMF

The geopolitical recession is really just picking up steam. And that's about a lack of global leadership. It's unilateralism from the U.S. and everyone else and it's also the delegitimization of a lot of development governments – the anti-establishment tendencies that we're seeing in the U.S., we're seeing in Europe – it's making it a lot harder for organizations like the IMF to do their jobs.feedback

Oct 05 2016 - IMF

They need to recognize that political instability and the changes in the political order are going to directly undermine their mandate.feedback

Oct 05 2016 - IMF

If they are not able to comment on that in the same way that they comment on a country which is not putting policies in place that will allow them to grow or meet the IMF mandate, then you've got challenges.feedback

Jul 26 2016 - Ukraine Crisis

Russia has the capabilities, and the timing also provides a motivation. The Kremlin strongly believes the U.S. government has been behind similar efforts against Russia – a la the Ukraine and Georgia revolutions.feedback

Jun 27 2016

China does not want Europe to fall apart. They don't want a Trump presidency. China understands that what they need right now is global stability.feedback

Jun 27 2016

There was a hope on the part of Britain that this was going to be a special friendship…That relationship is clearly not going to have the luster that a lot of people have expected.feedback

Apr 26 2016

I'd be very surprised in five years' time if we see Apple having the kind of access to the Chinese consumer that they presently enjoy.feedback

Apr 04 2016 - Kremlin

Vladimir Putin is directly caught up in this. the $2 billion could be "a tiny fraction of how much the Kremlin has actually been laundering.feedback

Oct 09 2013 - Sanctions

Iran's government now accepts that sanctions represent a clear threat to the regime itself.feedback

Oct 09 2013 - Israel

Iran is unlikely to accept all those demands without something comprehensive in return–if at all. But the limits on success are clear. Both Republican lawmakers in Washington and US allies in Israel are likely to define success differently than the White house does. And the US is still asking for a lot of things that will be difficult for Iran's government to accept. The sides remain far apart.feedback

Oct 09 2013

The US will ask Iran to halt production of 20% enriched material, eliminate the existing stockpile of that material, halt activity at the heavily fortified Fordo enrichment facility, accept a more intrusive inspection regime, and perhaps suspend the installation of new centrifuges.feedback

Nov 05 2012

You would think, given that the EU is the world's largest common economic space and given how problematic Europe might have been or may still be for the US economy, someone would have something to say about it: they did not. And while the US is very willing to dispense advice to the Europeans, no one is bringing a cheque book. Clearly the American position is that Europe has to fix Europe's own problems – so, I really don't see a significant difference on Europe with either of these candidates.feedback

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