Ian Shepherdson - Pantheon Macroeconomics


Last quote by Ian Shepherdson

The economy appears to have take the punch and rolled with it.feedback
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Oct 02 2017
This page is completely dedicated to what Ian Shepherdson has to say. All of Ian Shepherdson’s quotes are organized here by date and topic. The most recent quote attributed to Ian Shepherdson came from an article called U.S. Durable-Goods Orders Rose 1.7% in August: “The trend in capex orders is now stronger than implied by the path of oil prices–swings in oil sector capex have dominated the numbers in recent years–suggesting that the recent upturn in small business capex plans...is no fluke.”.
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Ian Shepherdson quotes

Mar 10 2017

We're expecting a hefty increase in February payrolls today, but even a surprise weak number likely wouldn't prevent a rate hike next week.feedback

Mar 03 2017

The Fed will hike unless next week's payroll report is calamitous. That's unlikely, so we expect rates to rise.feedback

Mar 02 2017

Businesses are finding it ever-harder to recruit, so the bar for letting people go has risen.feedback

Feb 22 2017

We are a bit less gloomy about housing than a couple of months ago but sales will not continue to rise at their recent pace.feedback

Feb 01 2017

We view this statement as a very small nudge towards the next rate hike, but action in March will come only if the next two labor market reports are strong and we have a clear idea of the likely extent and timing of fiscal easing.feedback

Jan 26 2017

In our view, (mortgage) applications have risen because people are rushing to lock in rates, fearing further increase. If we're right, mortgage applications will soon begin to fall, signaling a poor late spring and summer for the housing market. Homebuilders are very cheerful, but we think there's a very good chance that housing will be the first victim of the Trump reflation story.feedback

Jan 24 2017

When that activity dies down, we're not sure where the next wave of buyers is coming from.feedback

Jan 04 2017

The Fed is sticking with the idea that rates will rise at a gradual pace, but that's open to wide interpretation and a substantial fiscal easing could change things quickly.feedback

Nov 03 2016

The level of claims remains extremely low, signaling that businesses are keen to hang onto staff, presumably because they are fundamentally quite optimistic about business conditions.feedback

Nov 02 2016

Only a shock – the election of Trump, or an external geopolitical or market event – can now prevent a December hike.feedback

Oct 06 2016

With labor increasingly scarce and expensive, employers need to hold onto their existing staff.feedback

Oct 05 2016

August's drop was a fluke.feedback

Sep 27 2016

With inventory still very tight, the pressure on home prices is all to the upside.feedback

Aug 16 2016

The gap between the sales and permits numbers is not unprecedented, but it is wide, and we have to expect permits to rebound strongly in the near future.feedback

May 18 2016

June is very much alive, but Brexit remains a big hurdle.feedback

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