Jim O'Sullivan - High Frequency Economics

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Last quote by Jim O'Sullivan

The data continue to signal enough strength in employment growth to keep the unemployment rate trending down.feedback
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Nov 16 2017
Jim O'Sullivan has been quoted 31 times. The one recent article where Jim O'Sullivan has been quoted is Third quarter’s strong economic growth could boost GOP tax effort. Most recently, Jim O'Sullivan was quoted as having said, “An above-trend quarter does not mean that the trend has picked up.”.
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Jim O'Sullivan quotes

Apr 13 2017

In short, the headline data were held down by the energy component, but the core data were relatively weak as well. Even so, the core measures have accelerated a bit over the past year.feedback

Apr 03 2017

We expect negotiations will eventually result in some lowering of marginal tax rates, however, along with some offsetting base-broadening measures to prevent the deficit from rising significantly.feedback

Mar 22 2017

We are confident we will deliver our capital programme without overspending our budget. We will be publishing our delivery plan update in June, laying out the programme for the current year and again we expect to deliver all of the required work.feedback

Feb 23 2017 - Unemployment

The pattern (in jobless claims) is consistent with the trend in employment growth remaining strong – more than strong enough to keep the unemployment rate trending down.feedback

Jan 18 2017

I am kind of assuming that the (incoming) administration will be practical on this.feedback

Jan 18 2017

There is no question that near the top of the list of downside risks is the potential for more follow-through on the anti-free trade rhetoric.feedback

Jan 18 2017 - Unemployment

If the unemployment rate falls some more, it is going to add to upward pressure on wages and inflation and reinforce the case for Fed tightening.feedback

Jan 05 2017

We don't view the data as strong evidence that payrolls will undershoot expectations on Friday.feedback

Dec 16 2016

The data have been unusually volatile but, through the volatility, trends have generally been up.feedback

Dec 12 2016

The tone of the statement will probably be a more upbeat than last time, but we don't expect projections to change significantly.feedback

Dec 05 2016

This level has typically been consistent with about a 3.5 percent annual rate in real GDP growth.feedback

Nov 09 2016

For now, though, downside risks look much greater than upside risks.feedback

Nov 09 2016

We are not going to rush into changing our call for a rate hike at the December meeting.feedback

Sep 06 2016

The data will only help the case of those at the Fed arguing for holding off on tightening pending more clarity.feedback

Aug 29 2016 - Federal Reserve

Fedspeak has bordered on Fedequivocation recently, and not just because of multiple voices. Individual officials have sent mixed signals as well.feedback

Aug 29 2016 - Federal Reserve

Tightening as soon as September 21 remains possible, but it would probably require stronger-than-expected data in the next couple of weeks. We don't see much chance of a move at the November 1-2 meeting; Fed officials will likely want to keep a low profile in the week before the presidential election.feedback

Jul 08 2016

Today's report helps the case for more Fed tightening before too long – if strength is sustained – although officials are being ultra-cautious amidst turmoil in global markets.feedback

Jul 08 2016

It's almost too smooth the way it's worked out so far, and something's got to give, but that is essentially the interpretation so far.feedback

Jun 03 2016

The pattern will naturally be read as evidence of slowing, although the data can be volatile and a significant change in the trend is not being signaled by [jobless] claims.feedback

Feb 14 2016 - Federal Reserve

It was striking how frequently Yellen used the prepared line 'monetary policy is not on a preset course' whenever she was asked whether recent developments had changed the outlook.feedback

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