John Briggs - NatWest

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Last quote by John Briggs

We can learn a lot about a person if we know what types of things he or she talks about or comments on the most frequently. There are numerous topics with which John Briggs is associated, including Fed, December, and market. Most recently, John Briggs has been quoted saying: “Once they get back, they only have a week to do the CR. In my view, it's low odds [of failing]. Big picture, I don't think we break the range. There's a lot of cross currents.” in the article Global political jitters are creeping up in the markets.
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John Briggs quotes

We will have some data. The market will pay attention to it but will keep an eye on the retreat. I think some of the stuff about controls against currency manipulators … then this Mexico stuff. I would argue it's not anything we haven't heard before but we keep going back and forth on the latest tweet.feedback

I think if anything people were caught short off the Trump trade, and there's worry tomorrow's jobs number might not be as firm as hoped.feedback

Financial markets are mostly reacting to the economic plans, but there is still an added boost, that if you increase tariffs, mechanically you will have higher imported good prices, which is inflationary.feedback

Increased fiscal stimulus which could spur growth and inflation, and funded by tax cuts. That means a huge amount of money and supply. That's what's happening in rates, in a sentence.feedback

The reopening of the email investigation into Hillary Clinton certainly throws a wrench into the Presidential election now just eight days away.feedback

They would like to go in December. Rosengren's dissent is interesting. ... He's worried about financial stability aspects of keeping rates low, to the point where he's willing to dissent.feedback

They're trying to look past the weakness from earlier this month when they said economic activity has picked up from the modest pace seen in the first half of the year. I think they're hoping the data will give them cover to go in December.feedback

The information value is low in this. They've just been proven incorrect so many times.feedback

We'll see what the data comes out like tomorrow, to see if anybody tries again to reignite this rate hike talk, but (Fed Governor Lael) Brainard put that to bed.feedback

We were always in the position of thinking the Fed doesn't go until December. This just hammers it home. The last two times (that) ISM fell below 52 percent, it was preceding a recession.feedback

We were talking about it here, whether it's 200,000, 225,000 or 250,000.feedback

If the market continues to see a September hike, the 2-year yield could near 1 percent.feedback

She could say we want to raise rates twice this year and the markets will get hit. The end game is the markets are going to take them out of September, if they signal it too strongly.feedback

The media has been trying to spin how all these Fed speakers are trying to talk up the chances of a rate hike, so we've gotten up to a 55 percent chance of a rate hike by December.feedback

It's better. We're getting a little knee jerk reaction. We'll see if that persists.feedback

It's hard to see her deviating from the press conference she just had. I don't know how [Yellen] go[es] from being as uncertain as [she was] Wednesday to gaining certainty next Tuesday.feedback

Don't go too crazy on the June rate hike. There's still a lot of hurdles and even if those hurdles are met, there's still a Brexit vote.feedback

We see core (CPI) ticking down to 2.1, which is in line with the consensus. The Fed's not going to be in any rush if inflation is slowing down. There's nothing in that number that's going to get the Fed to move.feedback

It really puts off the Fed. We've had a number that misses then the trend comes back. I'm not ready to say Q1 weakness has totally filtered through to Q2, but it's a concern.feedback

If you've been long and you're heading into the Fed, and you don't think they're going to do anything, would you rather have the opportunity of losing a five-basis-point rally or being shocked and losing 10 to 15 basis points? I still think it's too early for them to set up a June hike. There's no upside for them to do that.feedback

It's probably a contributing factor. If you wanted to, you could argue the front end is moving on Bullard, but slightly.feedback

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