Masafumi Yamamoto

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Last quote by Masafumi Yamamoto

But a one-way drop by the dollar is also unlikely as the Republicans cannot face midterm elections in November of next year without enacting a single fiscal stimulus step.feedback
Mar 28 2017 Trump Presidency
We can learn a lot about a person if we know what types of things he or she talks about or comments on the most frequently. There are numerous topics with which Masafumi Yamamoto is associated, including U.S., December, and dollar. Most recently, Masafumi Yamamoto has been quoted saying: “The vote on Obamacare is a litmus test for Trump. If he can't push through the bill (on Obamacare), it would further damage stocks. It also raises the risk of his other policies, like tax cuts, being delayed. So today's vote is of main importance to the currency market.” in the article Dollar limps up from 4-month low vs yen, Trump's healthcare bill in focus.
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Masafumi Yamamoto quotes

The market is buying the dollar and selling U.S. Treasuries, and it seems this trend may continue because we don't know the details of 'Trumponomics,' and we will not have it until after the 20th of January next year.feedback

The euro could be more easily exposed to negative pressure amid concerns that the win by Trump, with his anti-globalism agenda, could affect referendums and elections in Italy, Holland and France next year.feedback

We are likely to see currencies swerve up and down today on the state-by-state Electoral College count. The market seems to have priced in a Clinton win quite significantly, but a further improvement in odds of a victory could take dollar/yen to 106.feedback

The dollar is being bought back on lessened prospects of a Trump presidency. But so far it is not active buying, as Clinton is likely to maintain a policy that prevents a strong dollar if she is elected, and as economic prospects remain unclear.feedback

We have to keep an eye on political and economic events in the U.S.. People are still pricing in the victory of Secretary Clinton, and a U.S. rate hike in December.feedback

The market is not really responding sensitively to U.S. political events since Friday, so the dollar/yen is stuck ahead of 105. We have to keep an eye on political and economic events in the U.S.. People are still pricing in the victory of Secretary Clinton, and a U.S. rate hike in December.feedback

May will accept voting at the Parliament, which is giving the pound a short-term boost, but I'm not sure it's long-lasting. It's latest fall was too much and too rapid, so it's natural to see some rebound. It seems the dollar's weakness against sterling today is affecting the other dollar currency pairs as well, which is also natural.feedback

Right now the reaction to Prime Minister May setting a departure deadline is mostly limited to the pound. A greater negative impact on the British economy will have be witnessed first for Brexit woes to cause broader risk aversion.feedback

German inflation has been recovering after hitting a bottom of minus 0.3 percent in April. If we see a number in line with market expectations, that could dampen expectations of further momentary easing by the European Central Bank in December.feedback

If the BOJ pushes rates to minus 0.3 percent next week, that will probably leave it with just one more chance to cut rates and may reinforce views there won't be much room left to slash rates. It's also uncertain whether the BOJ can dispel market concerns that its bond buying is reaching its limits.feedback

The dollar appears to be holding strong for now, but after this week, there are lots of uncertainties.feedback

The likelihood of the Fed hiking interest rates will be very low while Brexit worries dominate action in the financial markets.feedback

It is easier for speculators to bet on further dollar weakness as the European and Japanese central banks have just concluded their policy meetings, meaning further easing will not take place for a while. The Japanese authorities have not been clear in their stance towards a strong yen. The market could attempt to test the authorities to see where exactly they stand on the yen.feedback

That a Japanese official was reportedly prompted to speak on the yen was likely due to the excessive move seen on Wednesday, rather than the fact that dollar/yen fell into the 115 threshold.feedback

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