Michael Gapen - Barclays


Last quote by Michael Gapen

These factors combined with the timing of the Easter holiday, which was in April this year compared with March last year probably weighed on consumption growth. All of these effects will likely reverse in the second quarter and provide a modest boost to growth.feedback
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Apr 29 2017 Easter
We can learn a lot about a person if we know what types of things he or she talks about or comments on the most frequently. There are numerous topics with which Michael Gapen is associated, including Yellen, April, and outlook. Most recently, Michael Gapen has been quoted saying: “The irony is the sentiment will be super strong in Q1 and activity data will be weak, and in Q2, the activity data will rebound and sentiment will weaken. We'll end up with something on the fiscal front. We think it will be more about tax cuts than tax reform.” in the article Stocks, bonds diverge over whether Trump will be able to deliver on tax reform, stimulus.
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Michael Gapen quotes

The committee is more split than it has been at any time in our memory. This split in views will make FOMC communication and action increasingly difficult this year. In particular, we believe that this level of dissent will make it difficult for the committee to keep the possibility of a December rate hike live in the minds of market participants and, indeed, households and businesses.feedback

Despite some seeming trouble in the manufacturing sector, the overall outlook for employment is positive.feedback

Yellen could use her Jackson Hole speech to deliver a concrete message that a rate hike will happen in the coming months if U.S. job growth stays strong.feedback

You don't make too much about any one report but the trend is awfully weak.feedback

We now only expect one rate hike in 2016, in September, as we believe it will take longer for policymakers to accumulate sufficient evidence that economic and labor market activity is rebounding after a soft start to the year.feedback

We see the April statement as leading to a compromise outcome.feedback

We see the (Yellen) comments as an effort to exert control over the message and, in doing so, tilt expectations for policy rate hikes in a decidedly dovish direction.feedback

The era of low or even negative interest rates across the developed world, particularly in Japan and the euro zone, could last for several years to come.feedback

A move to an open-ended policy stance would be a important and powerful shift in the implementation of Fed policy; it would, in effect, say that the Fed is in motion until the data tell it to stop.feedback

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