Mitul Kotecha - Barclays

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Last quote by Mitul Kotecha

If we look at what the markets are focusing on, it's still very much the tax cut debates in the U.S., and how much progress there's going to be on this front. Clearly, there's some way to go before any deal is on the table, and I think markets perhaps may have reassessed some bullish expectations, and hence some of the dollar weakness yesterday, and probably the fact that the dollar has been unable to make up much lost ground today.feedback
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Nov 15 2017
We can learn a lot about a person if we know what types of things he or she talks about or comments on the most frequently. There are numerous topics with which Mitul Kotecha is associated, including BOJ, PBOC, and yuan. Most recently, Mitul Kotecha has been quoted saying: β€œThe dot plots are still higher than what the market is expecting. That convergence is what really we're going to see going forward. We still think the Fed is going to hike twice next year. There could be risks of more if we see tax reform or strong tax cuts. But at the moment, we think that is going to be the case, whoever is in the Fed chair or vice chair.” in the article Barclays expects two US rate hikes next year, no matter who the Fed chair is.
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Mitul Kotecha quotes

May 04 2017 - French election 2017

I think markets have largely already priced in a Macron win.feedback

Mar 28 2017

Clearly, the dollar is reacting to concerns that President Trump might not be able to push through his legislative agenda, given the fact that they've ditched, at least for now, healthcare reform. There are doubts about whether he can pass his stimulus, and therefore about the bullishness on U.S. growth that we were seeing just a few weeks ago. It's not surprising that the dollar is reacting in this way.feedback

Dec 22 2016

There's a lot of year-end book-closing and position-squaring, and less in terms of data and events to go on. So all of that suggests we might see more consolidation going through the year-end.feedback

Nov 03 2016

Clearly, in any environment when risk aversion picks up, the yen remains the ideal safe-haven currency.feedback

Nov 03 2016

And also, you can't ignore the fact that the BOJ didn't move on policy. That wasn't a surprise, but it does seem now there is a sense that further action is some way off.feedback

Sep 14 2016 - RMB

It's one year after the yuan's sharp depreciation and quite soon it will be included into the SDR basket, so there's speculation that China's central bank might intervene to stabilise it. But there's no confirmation of that.feedback

Jun 16 2016

Policymakers actually spend more time looking at equity markets than the actual yen, and if it does have a significantly negative impact on stocks, intervention risks picks up.feedback

Mar 24 2016 - RMB

We do think the dollar will rebound as we go into the months ahead.feedback

Mar 24 2016 - RMB

I think we can get there by stealth. market forces could help to weaken the yuan gradually.feedback

Feb 01 2016 - RMB

There has been a growing market belief that the yuan will weaken and in this respect there has been an increase in short yuan trades since the summer through the offshore market, options and non-deliverable forwards.feedback

Jan 22 2016

Given the strength of the yen, there has been some speculation lately that the BOJ has been under more pressure, especially given reports that the BOJ might cut its CPI forecast. That's part of the reason why dollar/yen is looking a bit more sticky.feedback

Jan 08 2016 - RMB

The PBOC is trying to instill two-way risks in the yuan as it doesn't want investors to get carried away on speculation that the currency will continue to slide.feedback

Nov 16 2014

Risk aversion is on the rise and we are seeing broad-based U.S. dollar strength across the board and this may continue until the year end as recent economic data has also disappointed.feedback

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