Omer Esiner - Commonwealth Foreign Exchange

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Last quote by Omer Esiner

I think it is a continuation of the move we have seen since mid-April. The dollar's broad declines are driven by the increasingly mixed tone to U.S. economic data, which has led to investors questioning the extent to which the Fed will be raising rates this year. The political climate is also acting as a key headwind for the dollar.feedback
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This page is completely dedicated to what Omer Esiner has to say. All of Omer Esiner’s quotes are organized here by date and topic. The most recent quote attributed to Omer Esiner came from an article called Dollar weak as political risks linger; euro bounces on Merkel comments: “I think it is a continuation of the move we have seen since mid-April. The dollar's broad declines are driven by the increasingly mixed tone to U.S. economic data, which has led to investors questioning the extent to which the Fed will be raising rates this year. The political climate is also acting as a key headwind for the dollar.”.
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Omer Esiner quotes

The wild card here is if Trump sounds a protectionist, anti-immigration, anti-strong dollar tone. And if we get that, there is substantial risk for the dollar.feedback

We're seeing that play out right now and I suspect if you see a Trump win we'd be seeing a continuation of something like that.feedback

It's more a continued move higher in the dollar on expectations that the Fed will indeed raise interest rates in December.feedback

To the extent that Mrs. Clinton is seen as the status quo candidate, her victory is likely to create fewer policy uncertainties than Mr. Trump's and is therefore likely to create fewer possible objections to higher interest rates at the Fed come December's FOMC meeting.feedback

An orderly rise in oil prices would signal a broader sense of global market stability.feedback

It would be inflationary, and it would be the type of argument that would argue for higher rates from the Federal Reserve.feedback

On one hand the Fed looks like it will raise rates in December ... and on the surface that's somewhat hawkish and positive for the dollar, but at the same time the Fed lowered its longer-term projected path of interest rates. It's hard to get too excited about the dollar when the Fed is lowering its projected path of rate hikes into the future.feedback

Her comments still fall a little bit short of what dollar bulls would want to see in that she doesn't make a case for an immediate increase, still keeps the outlook data-dependent and then went on to talk a great deal about how the Fed plans to deal with future recessions.feedback

As it stands now, market participants see a less than 50-50 chance of rates rising by December. The dollar will continue to struggle until that chance rises meaningfully.feedback

The fact that she did remove that timeframe I think just suggests that June's off the table, July is possible if the data cooperates. She's a little bit more upbeat in that respect than the Street and I think that was a main takeaway for me.feedback

The G7 ... did once again highlight the rift between U.S. and Japanese policymakers when it comes to currency interventions. The strong surplus number added to the yen's generally positive tone.feedback

We're in a sweet spot of sorts with the data showing a more robust recovery, which supports stocks and the dollar, yet not quite strong enough to declare an end to quantitative easing.feedback

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