Samuel Tombs - Capital Economics

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Last quote by Samuel Tombs

It's now incontrovertible that the housing market has slowed sharply this year, indicating that the monetary policy committee's interest rate cut in August provided only a temporary stimulus to demand.feedback
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Apr 07 2017 Brexit
We can learn a lot about a person if we know what types of things he or she talks about or comments on the most frequently. There are numerous topics with which Samuel Tombs is associated, including UK, European Union, and growth. Most recently, Samuel Tombs has been quoted saying: “The stock of overseas' investors assets in the UK equates to a massive 547% of annual GDP. Sterling would depreciate further if only a small proportion of these investors took flight. Signs that the UK is heading for a hard Brexit could be a trigger for such a fire sale.” in the article Sterling’s fall lifts UK exports, figures show.
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Samuel Tombs quotes

Uncertainty about the economic outlook is making consumers cautious to purchase big-ticket discretionary items.feedback

I think exports will disappoint. Growth will pick up because of the weaker pound but if you are an exporter you are facing the most uncertainty of anyone at the moment.feedback

Easing likely will be modest, due to the much higher outlook for inflation following sterling's precipitous decline.feedback

This will be an act of economic self-harm with global ramifications.feedback

Lending standards are slowly loosening … encouraging borrowers to take on even bigger loans. The stronger growth in credit is one thing that is going to be concerning the MPC … Banks are taking increasing risks now with their lending.feedback

We would see a very soft patch for the U.K. economy. [A Brexit] could push it into a recession for a short period. … If we were to go down that [Brexit] path there would be very sharp falls in business investment and outflows that would be quite painful.feedback

I think they won't cut rates – they would be more likely to provide the banks with more liquidity if they need it, just to prevent any banks from toppling over. Beyond that I don't think we would see any actual stimulus.feedback

I don't think we are in bubble territory yet, but I think if the Bank of England keeps rates on hold … financial stability risks are going to grow.feedback

The chances that investment or exports rebound and offset the consumer slowdown remain slim, given the recent Brexit-related declines in business confidence and the continued uncompetitiveness of UK exports in European markets.feedback

The recovery in spending will lose some momentum as job growth fades from recent stellar rates, inflation strengthens and the fiscal squeeze intensifies.feedback

Delving below the surface reveals a less impressive picture.feedback

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