Shane Oliver - AMP Capital Investors

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Last quote by Shane Oliver

This, along with strong economic growth and earnings, largely explains why global share markets are so strong.feedback
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Oct 30 2017
We can learn a lot about a person if we know what types of things he or she talks about or comments on the most frequently. There are numerous topics with which Shane Oliver is associated, including U.S., Donald Trump, and growth. Most recently, Shane Oliver has been quoted saying: “I have bought four of them. But it's clear that not enough Australians' agreed, opting for foreign-made SUVs instead.” in the article Australian car manufacturing ends as GM Holden closes plant.
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Shane Oliver quotes

Mar 03 2017

If this were happening a year ago, share markets would have gone into a tailspin. But because the U.S. economy is stronger now, the Fed's confidence in the outlook actually seems to be supporting the share market. After the strong gains since the U.S. election, the likelihood of a short-term share market correction remains high.feedback

Feb 24 2017 - Japan

While shares have generally continued to push higher they remain at risk of a short term correction being technically overbought again, and with short term investor sentiment at levels often associated with corrections.feedback

Feb 06 2017 - Toshiba

While the low September quarter inflation reading leaves the door wide open for another rate cut, a move on Tuesday is unlikely as the inflation outcome was in line with the RBA's own forecast. It's likely to want to monitor the recent uptick in lending to property investors and see how the economy performs after the September quarter slump.feedback

Feb 02 2017

Trump's presidency comes with greater than normal risks. Pragmatic pro-growth policies are likely to ultimately dominate populist policies. The Trump honeymoon with investors is likely over with a short term period of correction/volatility likely to continue in shares, bond yields and the U.S. dollar.feedback

Feb 01 2017

Donald Trump's presidency comes with greater than normal risks.feedback

Jan 25 2017

It keeps the prospect of another rate cut well and truly alive. We are thinking in May. These numbers highlight the downside risks to inflation in Australia and the risk that it will take longer to get back to target.feedback

Jan 19 2017

Markets are now waiting for more evidence that Donald Trump will deliver on fiscal stimulus and deregulation but uncertainty remains high about what he will do on trade. The risk of a tit-for-tat trade war between the U.S. and China is high, particularly if Trump formally brands China a currency manipulator.feedback

Dec 15 2016

The figures look a bit stronger than previously thought.feedback

Dec 07 2016

We expect GDP growth to lift back to around a 2.5 percent pace in the current quarter and through 2017. But despite our expectation that recession will be avoided and that growth will bounce back, growth is still likely to be fragile and constrained. In an ideal world now would be a time for some fiscal stimulus focussed on infrastructure spending.feedback

Dec 01 2016

There is a high risk that we will see a negative GDP outcome. I think the Reserve Bank might end up having to cut rates again.feedback

Nov 30 2016

Total approvals are still relatively high but the speed at which they are rolling over is a real surprise. It already looks like the economy lost momentum in the third quarter and now residential investment could turn into a drag on growth next year.feedback

Nov 30 2016

All talk of a hike is out the window after these building numbers.feedback

Nov 25 2016

In the upside-down world logic that applies to much of investing, there are ... mistakes investors often make which make it harder for them to reach their financial goals.feedback

Nov 25 2016

When everyone is bullish and has bought into an asset with general euphoria about it, there is no one left to buy in the face of more positive supporting news but lots of people who can sell if the news turns sour.feedback

Nov 25 2016

Without a tried and tested asset allocation process, trying to … sell before falls and buy ahead of gains is very difficult.feedback

Nov 10 2016

Australia will be particularly vulnerable if Trump were to set off a global trade war.feedback

Oct 03 2016

The RBA is expected to leave interest rates on hold for the second month in a row at 1.5 percent. Not enough has changed since the last rate cut in August, most recent commentary from the RBA including from Governor Lowe has expressed a broadly neutral tone regarding rates.feedback

Oct 03 2016

The RBA is likely waiting for the release of the September quarter inflation data in late October as a guide to whether it will cut in November.feedback

Sep 30 2016

While the period for seasonal share market weakness (August to October) so far has passed without a major mishap, we remain cautious on shares in the short term as event risk remains high for the months ahead.feedback

Sep 22 2016

Global monetary policy is set to remain easy for some time yet. Which means the broad environment (i.e. beyond short term event risks) remains positive for shares and growth assets.feedback

Aug 08 2016

Seasonal September quarter weakness along with risks around Italian banks, the Fed and global growth generally could still see more volatility in shares in the short term.feedback

Aug 02 2016

The Reserve Bank is clearly on a mission to avoid the near zero inflation rates that many similar countries have.feedback

Jul 10 2016

Abstracting from monthly noise, jobs growth averaged a solid 147,000 a month over the last three months, telling us that the US economy is doing well.feedback

Jul 04 2016 - HSBC Bank

The end result will be poor prospects for getting government spending and the budget deficit under control over the next three years and for the Coalition implementing its policy to cut corporate taxes, let alone undertaking serious productivity enhancing economic reforms.feedback

Jul 04 2016

But given the threat to confidence and growth from Brexit, it won't be enough to signal an imminent Fed rate hike in July.feedback

Jul 04 2016

We will see shares trending higher this year helped by relatively attractive valuations, very easy global monetary conditions and continuing moderate global economic growth.feedback

Jul 01 2016

The week ahead will no doubt see bouts of Brexit-related nervousness but it may continue to settle down in the absence of any new developments in Europe.feedback

Jun 20 2016

The agitation in financial markets reflects two things.feedback

Jun 01 2016

All of the growth in the economy is coming from trade as the third phase of the mining boom kicks in as projects start exporting.feedback

Apr 27 2016

While this is not a problem for short periods, the risk is that thanks to a combination of deflationary pressures globally, soft demand domestically and very weak wages growth inflation could remain well below target for an extended period.feedback

Feb 01 2016

Doubtful that the latest bout of financial and commodity market turmoil has been enough to move the RBA out of its 'chilled out' state. We remain of the view that the RBA will cut the cash rate again the months ahead.feedback

Jan 27 2016

In terms of the Fed overnight: It's clear that global central banks are now starting to be concerned about the impact of global growth worries and the latest plunge in oil prices in terms of meeting their inflation targets and as a result are now starting to sound more dovish.feedback

Jan 07 2016

The poor start to the year clearly warns that global growth concerns remain, that commodity prices are still under downwards pressure and that volatility in investment markets will likely remain high.feedback

Oct 02 2012

I think they have done the right thing. The global economy is looking a bit shaky.feedback

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