Takuya Takahashi - Daiwa Securities Group


Last quote by Takuya Takahashi

The market has priced in some of the geopolitical concerns, but we are not entirely relieved.feedback
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Apr 17 2017
We can learn a lot about a person if we know what types of things he or she talks about or comments on the most frequently. There are numerous topics with which Takuya Takahashi is associated, including U.S. and Americans. Most recently, Takuya Takahashi has been quoted saying: “Investors are on the sidelines as they are cautious ahead of the U.S.-China meeting, Trump's economic policies and U.S. jobs data. It may take a while for the Nikkei to trade above the 19,000-mark again and stay above that line.” in the article Nikkei rises as yen takes breather; financials fall.
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Takuya Takahashi quotes

We see that the Nikkei testing its year highs toward the end of year is possible, as the market welcomes the current dollar-yen levels.feedback

In the Japanese market, as stocks have risen too fast, profit-taking is not surprising.feedback

Investors are puzzled with their emotional investment decisions. They were risk averse yesterday, then after seeing that Americans were optimistic chasing the market higher, they wasted no time reversing their positions.feedback

Investors are more worried about the outcome of the U.S. election than before. Everyone is uncertain, and uncertainty is usually bad for the stock market.feedback

Investors' risk stances have improved since the upbeat U.S. data, so unless the dollar falls against the yen further, the market should not fall sharply.feedback

Nothing has been decided yet... we are not 100 percent sure on a U.S. rate hike or a Clinton presidency. But the outcomes of the key events over the weekend were seen helping the Japanese market.feedback

If Clinton becomes president, investors' risk stance will likely recover.feedback

There won't likely be any outcome affecting the Japanese market directly, but investors are watching how the currency markets will move. Anything triggering fears for a strong yen trend is negative to stocks.feedback

Investors are adjusting their positions today and they are buying back recently battered financial stocks, but they still remain risk averse before the big events next week.feedback

For Japanese stocks, the result turned out to be positive after U.S. stocks rose and the yen weakened.feedback

Comments from Fed officials are influential, so we will continue to monitor the forex market which has a big impact on Japanese stocks.feedback

ETF buying has a direct positive impact to the stock market, but its decision to hold off bond buying hit the dollar-yen. Since a stronger yen has a much bigger impact to the equities market (than ETF buying), it was not a satisfying outcome to stocks after all.feedback

People who bought the yen and sold stocks last week seem to be unwinding their positions. The market will likely stay resilient this week as buying before the ex-dividend date should also help.feedback

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