Tom Kloza - Oil Price Information Service

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Last quote by Tom Kloza

I was wrong. I thought [gasoline] would be about 50 cents higher than last year. Now I think we'll be about 10 to 20 cents higher, but then hurricanes are a caveat to all of that.feedback
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May 26 2017 Oil
Find all of Tom Kloza’s quotes that have been published in 36 different articles on this page. Tom Kloza’s quotes are organized by date and topic, making it easy for you to compare, for example, what Tom Kloza has said both recently, and in the past, on a variety of topics. Some of the topics Tom Kloza likes to comment on include Mexico and January. Most recently, Tom Kloza said, “I think there will be a lot of price points at various places in the country below $2. We're always going to be making more gasoline than we need. It's only when we get disruptions that you get issues. It's thanks to shale. There's no question about it.”.
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Tom Kloza quotes

I'm pretty confident we're going to get a run higher in crude and we're going to get a run higher in gasoline. April is going to set the tone in the second quarter.feedback

I think April will see considerably higher demand than March, if you throw in the wild card of exports as well as imports, you have enough tinder there to spark an increase in gasoline prices.feedback

What I would say we've seen in the last couple of days is indicative of what happens when the biggest fundamental of all gets a twist, and that's the money flow.feedback

The reason we've seen a breakdown this week is a lot of the more capricious money exited. They got nervous and they sold.feedback

The Saudis almost explicitly warned that if we don't get cooperation or we see cheating we're not going to be someone's patsy forever. We may break below that range for about 90 days, but in the end I think we'll be above it come driving season.feedback

From now through let's say May, it may be stormy times.feedback

We're raising our output and it has more than a parochial impact. It's not so much that it makes the U.S. inventories unwieldy. It's that it adds to the global inventory. That really is the concern in the global oil market. We tend to import the medium and heavy [grades of crude]. I'm sure most of the exports are light sweet oil.feedback

This is the future. It's not what it was in the shale boom, where there was just too much production, and we had these big discounts for crude in the United States.feedback

Goldman doesn't think there's a recession, and I don't either. Our own survey of about 10,000 stations across the country shows that sales gallons were down 4.4 percent in January. Those are actual sales, and it's a cross section, ranging from big box to mom and pop. I don't disagree with the notion that gasoline demand is going to be much higher in subsequent months, and it will probably be a reasonable driving season.feedback

You might have the oddity of gasoline prices moving higher while crude oil stays in a range. That's because there's enough refinery maintenance that there's going to be substantially less demand for crude oil from Feb. 15 to April 15. U.S refiners are going to move into turnarounds and they're going to be using less crude, a million barrels a day less. At the same time, we're going to be producing 400,000 to 500,000 more a day than what was expected. ... That's going to have an impact. That's a million and a half difference on balance. It looks like [prices] should be somewhat sluggish.feedback

We're waiting for America to drive again. I think it's new cars. I think it's an older demographic. It's gasoline that has to be cleared as you go into the spring weeks. It's almost every year you have the glut. Unfortunately, it has to be cleared away and that creates tight supplies.feedback

I do think we'll see [demand exceed supply] in 2017, but I think it's going to be front-end loaded.feedback

We'll see some compliance with the OPEC quotas and the non-OPEC agreement, but it will fade into the second quarter and it may not be there at all in the second half of 2017. As you see prices go up above $55 a barrel in the forward markets, you will unleash various beasts in West Texas, North Dakota and even Oklahoma called shale.feedback

There will be a spike and everyone will be talking about it and it will probably be between Easter and Memorial Day.feedback

In the summertime, we got to where we made more than 10 million barrels a day of gasoline and manufactured more than 5 million barrels a day of distillates. That was a big deal. ... We thought you'd have 9 [million] and 4 [million] for domestic demand. If it weren't for gasoline exports – and the highest months can be December and January – we'd be looking at matching that big inventory buildup we had last January.feedback

It's a double-edged sword. It is the big difference maker going into 2017, compared to 2016.feedback

It's going to be front-end loaded. We're going to see a spike and then we'll see prices ease from that spike. That forecast depends on no hurricane and no border tax. The border tax is a new wild card that I just don't think is going to get passed.feedback

We have never exported more gasoline and distillates than we did last week. ...The total amount of exports is huge. There's no doubt about it that it's a record.feedback

I think domestic demand is incredibly lumpy. Every previous year we've been adding several hundred thousand barrels of capacity. The fact is there's about 1.9 million barrels a day of global capacity being added, most of which is in the Middle East and southeast Asia. It's not in the Western Hemisphere.feedback

If it weren't for gasoline exports - and the highest months for exports can be December and January - we'd be looking to match that big inventory buildup we had last January.feedback

It may be that the Saudis and other parts of the Middle East become a supplier for Latin American destinations. For now, it's a brisk export market. How will the macro economic decisions of Donald Trump impact South America? That could have a great impact on refiners here.feedback

Traders at the Gulf Coast...keep talking about the tremendous gasoline demand to move to central and South America. There's clearly a lot of demand for Gulf Coast gasoline. The difference maker is exports. I think Mexico is probably 40 to 50 percent of it.feedback

There's no question that 2017 is gonna be more expensive than 2016. But it's impossible to make a case for it to be anywhere near as expensive as, let's say, 2011, 12, 13 and 14, when we regularly saw prices go above $3.feedback

We are not talking about a fuel apocalypse.feedback

They tend to overpromise and under deliver.feedback

A lot of big refineries are coming back up and will start making gasoline. Those refineries were born to run.feedback

Even if they don't make it by Saturday noon, you miss four or five days. It's not a big deal. But it's a big deal for Colonial and people who bought in the panic in the futures market.feedback

We're going to go higher from January to December of 2017, but I think it will be trouble about 40 days from now.feedback

There's probably a sweet spot between $50 and $55, but I think we're setting ourselves up for some sort of a disappointment at the OPEC meeting. I think the language is probably going to be thoroughly bullish. They'll pay lip service to some sort of a freeze.feedback

It's Mexico, Mexico, Mexico and Latin America. I guarantee that's what it is.feedback

Gasoline exports are a quietly stunning story of autumn, 2015. It's been a theme this autumn and I think it's going to be a theme that continues into 2017.feedback

The price for the next few months is going to be determined not in Vienna, but in places like Lagos, Nigeria; Tripoli; and Moscow – and maybe Midland, Texas.feedback

My suspicion is that the OPEC honeymoon will continue for quite a while.feedback

I just don't see any way that we get a $60 average for a month within the next 12 months.feedback

This is a demand destroyer. That's the bottom line.feedback

Crude oil is comfortable between $40 and $52 per barrel, but that range would be extraordinarily uncomfortable should there be any hint of U.S. recession. The lows are likely in October, when global refinery maintenance peaks. The highs may occur at year's end, but only if we have some early winter in the northern hemisphere.feedback

The Carolinas are ground zero at the moment. Georgia is starting to get some product.feedback

Some of the people that were selling it at 40 to 50 cents over futures prices are out of fuel. It's a scramble for distributors to find fuel.feedback

I'm guessing it persists into next week. This weekend is going to be tough. A lot of pumps are without fuel.feedback

It's still going to be a mess in most of the those states, I think through September.feedback

I still think there's going to be drama in the downstream market with no gasoline or ridiculous prices. Let's hope Colonial gets that pipeline restarted because we really need it.feedback

The lack of Gulf Coast gasoline coming north has manifested itself from Alabama to Virginia, a lot less when you get to other points, like Delaware and New Jersey.feedback

For the moment, people might be hearing about $43 crude oil, and they'll be paying $2.15 for gasoline in a market where they paid $1.80 last week.feedback

I think in the impacted areas, it's going to be uneven. Some people will see it going up 20 to 25 cents.feedback

There's a huge difference if you get that bypass line going tomorrow or if it stretches into next week.feedback

When the president got sworn in, it was around an average of about $1.69.feedback

For this time of year, since the financial crisis, with no question [it's the cheapest gasoline]. I just don't think we're going to get as low as we did last February.feedback

… [I]t will be interesting to see if that brings gasoline prices down.feedback

I still put it at 50/50 that we get to a national average of $2, but I do think the average person will be able to buy it for less than $2.feedback

Crude oil rallied more than 4 percent on Thursday.feedback

It would be tough for me to make a case for crude oil going more than a few dollars a barrel higher than it is right now. We're still in that $42 to $50 trading range. When it gets near the lows, it's a buy.feedback

I'm pretty comfortable in predicting that crude oil prices will be much higher one year from now, two years from now, and three years from now with prices perhaps in the $50 to $75 range.feedback

On 'Seinfeld', they had the 'Bizarro World. Now, we're seeing the Bizarro World where gasoline, out on the West Coast is selling for under $50 a barrel, the lowest price in the country on a spot basis. It's very unusual and speaks to what happens when all refineries run at pretty high levels.feedback

But, like the New York Yankees, we may have to waddle through a long period of mediocrity and pain until things turn around.feedback

It may get a little uglier with some European refinery shutdowns. But this is very seasonal.feedback

I think you could make the argument that you've got some weakness between now and when refiners take their equipment down because there's too much gasoline and too much diesel. That could bring crude to $39 to $40. For crude oil and gasoline, I think the bottom comes during campaign season this year.feedback

These are the cheapest gasoline prices for the end of July since 2004. There's 36 states where you see gas less than $2 a gallon. The really cheap prices will be between Labor Day and Election Day.feedback

It's been a cheap year for fuel costs, and particularly for jet fuel, but also gasoline and diesel. There has been very high demand.feedback

Without a hurricane, it's a $2.25 to 2.40 driving season.feedback

Everyone with the $1.99 signs should have them ready for October or November.feedback

The question is really whether or not it's a driving season thing and what happens after Labor Day. You've got an election where people aren't very happy with the choices, and they may show that it may not be to vote with [their] feet, but to vote with [their] cars in traffic.feedback

In the fall, there's no question there's going to be a challenge in the marketplace, particularly if you see production in some of the places like Nigeria and Kurdistan will ramp higher.feedback

We saw the highest demand ever, we used something on the order of 59 million gallons a day of gasoline.feedback

There's too much oil. It's that plain and simple. And [major producers] would have to cut not to freeze to really impact [the market].feedback

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