Zhou Hao - Commerzbank


Last quote by Zhou Hao

The unexpected rise in both CPI and PPI suggests that there is little hope China's monetary policy could see some relaxation before the end of this year. We believe that the market has underestimated the inflationary pressure facing China's economy, although inflation is unlikely to surge in the foreseeable future. That said, onshore rates are still on the rise.feedback
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Sep 09 2017 China
The latest quote from Zhou Hao is: “We believe that this on one hand reflects that there is little improvement in underlying demand. On the other hand, the de-leveraging effort by the Chinese authorities, has started to work.”. It comes from the China manufacturing growth slows faster than expected article. You’ll find on this page 31 articles with Zhou Hao quoted on topics such as China and Bank. Zhou Hao has been quoted 33 times in 31 articles.
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Zhou Hao quotes

Dec 26 2016

The question is whether price rises in recent months resulted from a genuine improvement in demand, or financial speculation. From what we are seeing, the leadership apparently thinks it's the latter.feedback

Dec 15 2016 - RMB

China has been consciously cutting its holdings of U.S. Treasuries, to defend the yuan, and it's hard to stop this trend.feedback

Nov 29 2016

During 2010 and 2014, similar policies were also implemented in Shanghai, which were proved effective in controlling property price gains.feedback

Nov 18 2016

The current strict policy tone will persist, which could add pressure to growth in the coming quarters.feedback

Oct 27 2016

This is part of the 'risk control' policy package as shadow banking activities have picked up strongly due to monetary easing.feedback

Sep 18 2016

Investors should remember that the Chinese authorities attempts to reduce leverage in the stock market in 2015 ended disastrously.feedback

Sep 13 2016

It is a good time for China to deliver on structural reform, especially on the SOE side, to restore confidence in the economy.feedback

Sep 13 2016

It is very clear that the data is improving because of the property market. This is not sustainable.feedback

Sep 01 2016 - G20

While many factories have been shut down before the G20 summit, overall manufacturing activities are still elevated, reflecting improving growth momentum.feedback

Aug 12 2016

People are worried about a lack of solid demand over the next few years so they aren't really investing, especially in capex, which is the driving factor of the slowing investment.feedback

Jul 22 2016 - G20

It seems to me China's central bank has put a brake on CNY depreciation, at least temporarily.feedback

Apr 13 2016

Given the gloomy economic outlook, we believe that the overall Asian trade growth will have limited upside this year.feedback

Apr 07 2016 - RMB

Looking ahead, we believe that the pressure on CNY will moderate somewhat, while the capital outflows are likely to continue over the foreseeable future.feedback

Mar 25 2016

The move is likely to become the turning point of the property policy in the big cities.feedback

Mar 25 2016 - RMB

In the past few months, the PBOC intervened intensively to prevent a fast depreciation of CNY, and many believe that they have also stepped into the FX forward market.feedback

Feb 03 2016 - G20

Clearly, the market sees that the intensive intervention from PBoC (People's Bank of China) is not sustainable, and therefore the central bank will have to let the currency go at some point.feedback

Feb 01 2016

In the meantime, China has started an aggressive capacity reduction in many sectors, which could add downward pressure on the bulk commodity prices over time.feedback

Jan 25 2016

The huge level of individual and corporate savings which exist in China at present obviously cannot find a reasonable return on investment in China.feedback

Jan 19 2016

While headline growth looks fine, the breakdown of the figures points to overall weakness in the economy. All in all, we believe that China will experience a 'bumpy landing' in the coming year.feedback

Jan 18 2016 - RMB

All in all, it appears that the Chinese authorities want to dampen the speculative flows that bet on a fast depreciation of its currency.feedback

Jan 09 2016

The inflation profile remains soft and the continuous PPI deflation suggests that Chinese companies will have to reduce their debt as further expansion in many industries will only lead to more loss.feedback

Jan 06 2016 - RMB

The sudden movement in the fixing rate would create more market volatility and suggested Chinese authorities were willing to tolerate more weakness in the currency for the time being.feedback

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